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DTN Midday Livestock Comments 06/29 11:19
Lower Trends Dominate the Livestock Complex at Monday's Start
Traders have sluggishly entered the new week as currently all three of the
livestock markets are trading lower.
ShayLe Stewart
DTN Livestock Analyst
GENERAL COMMENTS:
With it being a holiday-shortened week, and everyone anxiously awaiting the
celebration of America's 250th birthday, the livestock complex is trading lower
at the week's start, as, frankly, there may not be much trader interest in the
complex this week. Consumer demand is strong; however, at the week's start,
both boxed beef prices and pork cutout values are higher in today's morning
reports. July corn is down 12 1/2 cents per bushel and July soybean meal is
down $1.80. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is up 242.55 points and the NASDAQ
is up 342.43 points.
LIVE CATTLE:
The live cattle contracts are trading lower into midday Monday as the market
simply isn't seeing the level of trader support it needs in order to trade
higher. And while yes, midday boxed beef prices may be higher, the market could
be short of the technical support it needs this week as traders may not
participate as aggressively this week given that it's a big holiday week, and
given that the contracts are up against resistance levels. June live cattle are
down $0.67 at $256.77, August live cattle are down $2.55 at $243.27 and October
live cattle are down $2.65 at $236.55.
Last week, Northern dressed cattle traded at mostly $408 to $410, which is
$1.00 to $3.00 higher than the previous week's weighted average, and Southern
live cattle traded at mostly $258, which is $1.00 lower than the previous
week's weighted average.
Boxed beef prices are higher: choice up $1.53 ($392.56) and select up $4.71
($376.29) with a movement of 32 loads (18.48 loads of choice, 5.41 loads of
select, 3.04 loads of trim and 4.79 loads of ground beef).
FEEDER CATTLE:
With much ambition or excitement being seen in the live cattle complex, the
feeder cattle contracts are consequently trading lower at the week's start.
August feeders are down $2.67 at $367.17, September feeders are down $2.45 at
$365.22 and October feeders are down $2.12 at $362.47. And do note that with
the markets being closed on Friday for the Fourth of July holiday, trader
interest and participation in the complex this week could be minimal.
LEAN HOGS:
The lean hog complex is also trading lower into Monday's noon hour as
traders don't want to get ahead of themselves and be too bullish if fundamental
support isn't going to be sizeable. But it is worth noting that the morning's
carcass price is higher, but the big push is stemming from the huge rally in
the belly, which is up $12.16 this morning. July lean hogs are up $0.17 at
$93.10, August lean hogs are up $0.05 at $96.62 and October lean hogs are down
$0.97 at $80.97. The projected lean hog index for 6/26/2026 is down $0.14 at
$91.41 and the actual index for 6/25/2026 is down $0.23 at $91.55. Hog prices
are unavailable on the Daily Direct Morning Hog Report because of
confidentiality. However, we can see that only 25 head have traded and that the
market's five-day rolling average now sits at $97.47. Pork cutouts total 143.30
loads with 114.39 loads of pork cuts and 28.91 loads of trim. Pork cutout
values: up $3.26, $98.63.
ShayLe Stewart can be reached at shayle.stewart@dtn.com
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